Early Start Demands WNBA Bettors Get On Their Game

Written By Derek Helling on June 29, 2022

The WNBA doesn’t offer many weekday day games, but today is an exception to that rule. There are a couple of games much later on Wednesday for bettors who miss the early tip, though.

One of the later games includes some data that’s hard to decipher any strong trends from, however. Thus, there’s no time to waste to take advantage of the best opportunities Wednesday.

How to watch, the lines, and the schedule for Wednesday

All times below are Eastern Daylight Savings. Unless otherwise noted, bettors can watch on NBA TV. The lines are from BetMGM and valid as of 7 a.m. EDT on Wednesday.

  • Connecticut Sun at Chicago Sky (-3.5), Noon (total of 166.5)
  • Indiana Fever at Phoenix Mercury (-6.5), 10 p.m. (total of 165.5)
  • Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm (-2.5), 10 p.m., Amazon Prime (total of 166.5)

None of the six teams in action have pending injury updates to watch, so these lines should not move much throughout the day barring significant public action. Because of the early start on the first game, though, there’s no need to dawdle.

Consider Connecticut on the spread against Chicago

One of the earliest schedule tips of the season features a Chicago team that has won five of its last six and six of its last eight outright and the Connecticut squad it has already defeated on the road this season. On June 10, the Sky got an 83-79 road win over the Sun to cover the 6.5-point spread favoring them.

However, Chicago hasn’t enjoyed as much success as a home favorite at this number. In six prior games in which the Sky were a home favorite by 3.5 points or more, they’ve covered only twice.

Connecticut has been a road dog of 3.5 or more points on three occasions heading into play Wednesday. The Sun have covered in two of those three instances. When these teams met earlier this month, the total went under 163 points.

Both of these teams’ seasons have been unpredictable on totals. For example, in a combined 28 games these teams have taken part in so far this season for which the pre-game totals landed at 166.5 or lower, the under cashed 14 times, the over 12, and there have been two pushes.

Take a look at the over for Indiana-Phoenix

These teams play the back half of a standard two games in three days set Wednesday night. Monday’s game was actually the second meeting of these teams in 2022, however. Phoenix won both games outright, covering spreads of 1.5 points in Indiana on June 15 and then seven points at home on Monday.

Monday was the only time heading into Wednesday that the Mercury have been a favorite of 6.5 or more points. The Fever, however, have been a road dog of 6.5 or more points six times so far this season, covering twice.

The totals from these teams’ previous meetings sat at 169 and 170, surpassing the former but coming in under the latter. In a combined 22 games these teams have been part of in which the total has been 165.5 or lower, the over has cashed 13 times.

Unfamiliar numbers all around for Las Vegas-Seattle

Seattle hosts Las Vegas for the first time this season, looking to avenge an earlier road loss. On May 8, the Aces won at home 85-74, covering a 4.5-point spread that favored them against the Storm.

Now that spread is nearly flipped, which is a precarious position for bettors. Seattle has been a home favorite by 2.5 or more points nine times so far this season but is 5-4 against the spread in those games.

This is the first time in 2022 that Las Vegas has been a road underdog by any margin. When these teams met earlier this season, the total went under 176 points. Wednesday’s opening total matches the lowest of the season for an Aces game.

However, it’s the second-highest total of the season for a Storm game. The over has cashed in 10 of 17 Seattle games in which the total was 166.5 or lower, though.

Photo by Eric Gay/Associated Press
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Derek Helling

Derek Helling is the assistant managing editor of PlayUSA and the managing editor of BetHer. He is a 2013 graduate of the University of Iowa and covers the intersections of the gambling industry with business, the law, and technology.

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