For betting purposes, not all WNBA games are created equal. That’s evident Tuesday night as a pair of contests feature great matchups for fans but one of the games presents more suggestions for bettors.
It’s not that bettors should necessarily stay away from the other game but rather that the other contest simply presents stronger data in terms of trends that suggest sides of the spreads and totals to bet. Bettors still need to make their own decisions how best to spend their own bankrolls.
How to watch, the lines, and schedule for Tuesday
All times below are Eastern Daylight Savings. The lines are from WynnBet and valid as of 7 a.m. EDT on Tuesday.
- Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics (-8), 7 p.m., ESPN2 (total of 155.5)
- Dallas Wings at Minnesota Lynx (-2), 8 p.m., ESPN3 (total of 164.5)
The first game of tonight’s double-header is the aforementioned more promising contest.
Trends on both the spread and total for Atlanta-Washington
Atlanta was probably happy to rid themselves of Washington for the past nearly five weeks, as the results of a home-and-home on May 20 and 24 went against them. The Mystics won both of those games outright. In both contests, the Dream failed to cover as well.
The totals for those games were slightly higher than Tuesday’s opening line, at 157.5 for Atlanta’s home game and 156.5 for Washington’s turn as host. When the Mystics play their second home game in this series on the season Tuesday, they’ll do so with a record of 3-1 against the spread when favored by eight points or more at home.
In three chances as a road underdog of eight points or more, Atlanta has yet to cover a spread. What’s more, the Dream could still be without the trio of Nia Coffey, Kirsty Wallace, and Elizabeth Wheeler Tuesday night.
Sportsbooks have accounted for this matchup with this low total of 155.5, as only on seven occasions have either of these teams taken a court this season to a lower total. Still, the under is worth a look, though.
In a combined 32 games these teams have taken part in during this season in which the pre-game total was 155.5 or higher, the under cashed in 21 of those contests. Also, the two previous meetings of these teams both went under their totals.
Trends not as clear for Dallas-Minnesota
The first thing that bettors considering this game should note is that Dallas will be without Allisha Gray Tuesday night. This is the first Minnesota home game in this series for the 2022 season.
On May 21, the Wings won outright 94-78 to cover their spread as two-point favorites. The Lynx come into Tuesday having won their last five in a row ATS, however. That’s helped push their record ATS as a home favorite by two or more points to 2-3.
At the same time, they face a Dallas team that’s 5-1 ATS as a road dog of two or more points. As both of these teams have fared respectably ATS in this situation, bettors might look to the total for a better opportunity.
The teams went over the total of 163.5 in their earlier meeting. Unfortunately, beyond that, the numbers don’t do much to suggest one side of this market. When these teams have played in a game for which the pre-game total was 164.5 or higher, the over cashed eight times in 15 chances.