Just three days remain until the WNBA takes its All-Star break but for Tuesday, there are two games with intrigue for bettors. The home teams in both games play the underdog, which prompts different narratives on spread bets.
The totals for today’s games aren’t eye-popping but some of the trends around them are. One of the totals for today’s contests almost seems like a no-brainer to seriously consider.
How to watch, the lines, and schedule for Tuesday
All times below are Eastern Daylight Savings. The lines are from PointsBet and valid as of 7 a.m. EDT on Tuesday.
- Seattle Storm (-10.5) at Indiana Fever, 7 p.m., WNBA League Pass (total of 158.5)
- Connecticut Sun (-5) at Dallas Wings, 8 p.m., Facebook (total of 164.5)
Listed as questionable for today’s game is Indiana’s Lexie Hull (9.2 minutes, two points, and 1.3 rebounds per game in 2022 so far). Otherwise, there are no injury updates to watch for that might affect these lines throughout the day.
The over looks strong in Indiana-Seattle Tuesday
Indiana hosts Seattle for the first time this season after falling 73-57 at Climate Pledge Arena on July 1. In that game, sportsbooks had the Storm a 13.5-point favorite, putting the Fever on a stretch of four consecutive games lost both against the spread and outright.
Today’s spread of 10.5 points is the second-largest margin by which Indiana has been an underdog at home so far in 2022. The Fever failed to cover in the only game in which they’ve been a larger underdog at home but they have gone 3-3 ATS when a home dog by smaller margins.
The spread is also the biggest margin by which Seattle has been a road favorite yet this season. The Storm have also gone 3-3 ATS as a road favorite with smaller spreads in play.
On the totals, there hasn’t been a number this low for an Indiana game since May 20. In a combined 12 2022 WNBA games for which the pre-game totals were 158.5 or lower and one of these two teams was on the court, the over hit 10 times.
Dallas on the spread might be the play against Connecticut
Again, this is the first meeting of these teams in 2022 when the underdog is the home team. Dallas played at Connecticut on May 24 and 26, splitting the games both ATS and outright. The spreads for both games sat at much higher numbers of eight and 8.5 points.
The Wings will see Connecticut come in having lost their past three in a row both ATS and straight up. Otherwise, though, Dallas has actually excelled ATS at this number. When a home underdog by five or more points, the Wings have covered in all three instances.
The Sun can’t make a similar claim, going 3-2 ATS when a road favorite by five or more points. There hasn’t been a total this high on a Connecticut game since June 3 and Tuesday will mark just the fourth Sun game this season when the total is 164.5 or higher.
In a combined 31 games for which the totals were 164.5 or lower, the under cashed 16 times. Looking at the other side of this number doesn’t provide much more direction, though. In a combined 14 games when the totals were 164.5 or higher, the over hit eight times.