Washington Spirit And Racing Louisville Kick off The Weekend Action

Written By Antonio Maza on June 17, 2022

The Washington Spirit are back at Segra Field Friday night, seeking some much-needed points against a club that similarly has struggled to accumulate points in the 2022 regular season so far. Tonight, both clubs have a shot to break that trend.

The NWSL weekend kicks off for bettors with this pairing at 7:30 p.m. EDT on Paramount+. Legal Canadian and US sportsbooks foresee some separation between these clubs on the pitch despite their similar starts.

The Washington Spirit odds for Friday

As of noon EDT on Friday, FanDuel has Washington a -115 favorite to win at full time on its 3-way moneyline. The odds on a draw sit at +240 while a Louisville victory at full time would pay out +320. A big part of that determination is the recent form in this series.

Washington was victorious in two of the three regular-season matchups against Louisville last season, winning the last two matches by a combined score of 5-0. The last time the Spirit scored five goals in back-to-back wins against the same opponent was in 2019 against the Orlando Pride.

Racing’s overall recent form contributes as well, as the club is on a three-match slide. However, the two goals against Angel City FC in its last match were the most scored by the club in a regular-season loss in its history.

Sportsbooks continue to be impressed by the Spirit’s potential for scoring despite their relative lack of execution in securing victories. Ashley Hatch is part of the reason for that potential.

Since Hatch joined the Spirit in 2018, only Sam Kerr and Lynn Williams have scored more regular-season goals with no more than one goal from the penalty spot in that time. The difference in this match could come down to Washington’s ability to actually protect a lead.

Key will be in the Spirit’s backline

Washington has scored 20 goals against an xG of 22.72 according to American Soccer Analysis so far through all competitions in 2022, making their rate of conversion on their xG one of the best in the league. The problem is their ability to keep other clubs from scoring.

The Spirit have allowed just slightly fewer goals (17) than their xGA suggests (18.17). Whether Racing is line to take advantage of that, though, is another matter. Louisville’s 157 shots so far in 2022 are fewer than seven other NWSL clubs’ tallies.

While their goals and xG are nearly identical, those stats are still some of the lowest in the league. That largely comes from so much of its offensive threat so far this season coming from just one place; Jess McDonald.

With Nadia Nadim back on the pitch, Racing might be able to mount more of a varied attack now. However, sportsbooks don’t expect that to be enough to overcome Washington’s offense.

Photo by Phelan M. Ebenhack/Associated Press
Antonio Maza Avatar
Written by
Antonio Maza

NWSL Analitica writer/owner, video and data analyst

View all posts by Antonio Maza