Can The Washington Spirit Ascend The Table Against Chicago Wednesday?

Written By Derek Helling on June 1, 2022

Wednesday’s Washington Spirit odds might look familiar to those who bet on the NWSL championship match last year. That’s for more reason than the fact that the same two clubs are meeting up for the league’s lone match of the day.

The Washington Spirit and Chicago Red Stars seek points tonight as the second month of the 2022 regular season opens. The statistics suggest that the match could be closer than the moneyline action suggests.

Washington Spirit odds for Wednesday night

Wednesday’s rematch of the 2021 NWSL championship match will happen at Segra Field in Leesburg, Virginia. The match begins at 7:30 p.m. EDT and fans can watch on Paramount+. It’s the first meeting of these clubs in 2022.

FanDuel has Washington a +130 favorite in its early 3-way moneyline. Given the Spirit’s success in creating scoring chances relative to the same for Chicago, it’s easy to understand why the market shapes up as it has.

Looking beyond the baseline stats reveals some opportunities for bettors tonight.

Spread markets look interesting for Red Stars-Spirit

The Spirit are leading the NWSL in shots according to American Soccer Analysis. Meanwhile, only NJ/NY Gotham FC has accumulated fewer shots this year so far than Chicago.

That disparity looks quite significant, but it’s important to consider how many of those shots are actual quality chances. The gap isn’t as wide when it comes to actual expected goals. Washington’s figure for that stat is 17.28 while for the Red Stars, it’s 14.19.

Additionally, opponents are converting chances at a slightly higher rate against the Spirit than they are against Chicago. Washington keeper Aubrey Bledsoe has conceded 12 times against 38 shots on target.

Meanwhile, Alyssa Naeher has seen six more shots and conceded just one more goal. Thus, the margin of victory markets have some intrigue in this match. It will depend on the Red Stars’ ability to get Mallory Pugh room to work with the ball.

Pugh has the second-highest goals scored to xG ratio in the league. She’s second in that statistic only to Washington’s Ashley Hatch. While it seems inevitable that either Hatch, Trinity Rodman, or Ashley Sanchez will score in each Spirit match, Chicago has what it takes to keep this match close.

Just like the last time these clubs met, the difference in this match could be a mere goal.

Photo by Will Newton/Associated Press
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Derek Helling

Derek Helling is a lead writer for PlayUSA and the manager of BetHer. He is a 2013 graduate of the University of Iowa and covers the intersections of sports with business and the law.

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