After what was a thumping defeat for Wolfsburg against Barcelona at Camp Nou, Olympique Lyonnais and Paris Saint-Germain are in the other semifinal looking for a place at Torino. Storylines for this pairing are similar to what bettors saw heading into Friday’s match at Parc Olympique Lyonnais, too.
Like between Barca and Wolfsburg, there’s a side that’s had a strong history of winning the OL-PSG matchup. The other has put on a stalwart defense in this year’s fixture so far. Whether that means a similar result is what bettors need to determine for themselves.
One-sided history of this French UWCL series
Sunday’s match is the eighth time that two sides from the same country have faced each other in the semifinals of the UEFA Women’s Champions League. It’s the third time these two clubs have met for a place in the final, though.
The last meeting came back in the 2019-20 season when Lyon won 1-0. The first time they met in a semi came in 2015-16. That year, Lyon recorded an 8-0 win on aggregate, largely thanks to a historic 7-0 triumph in the first leg at home. That remains the most lopsided win in this round in the history of the league.
In fact, this is a very common match. This is the ninth time these two powerhouses from France have played each other in the Champions League at any stage. Only Chelsea against Wolfsburg has been more frequent with 10 instances.
Despite the frequency, this series has been far from equitable. PSG has only won twice in the Champions League against Lyon. The first PSG victory was a 1-0 win in 2014 at Groupama Stadium in the Round of 16. The last PSG, also at the Groupama Stadium, ended 2-1 in the quarterfinals.
Can PSG’s backline neutralize the historical disadvantage?
Ada Hegerberg‘s return might give Lyon the boost it needs to continue its dominance of this series. Yes, she has only scored once in a semifinal of the Champions League. It came against PSG, though, in the 2015-16 match that ended 7-0.
Also, Lyon has never lost a UWCL game when she has scored. They have 28 wins and 2 draws across those 30 instances. PSG has other history to contend with, too. Lyon has progressed to the finals in its last nine appearances in the semis since losing to Duisburg in 2008-09.
PSG will rely on their defensive structure as the club with the fewest goals conceded (three) and most clean sheets (six). Wolfsburg came into Friday’s match as the defensively superior side, though, and bettors know well how that went.
How sportsbooks size up this match
Bettors can watch today’s match live on Ata Football and DAZN. The match should begin at 11 a.m. EDT.
Because of the home pitch and the strong form against PSG, Canadian and US sportsbooks like OL to overcome PSG’s backline Sunday. BetRivers and PlaySugarHouse have a -108 line on a Lyon win in regular time on their 3-way moneylines.
BetMGM is offering the best action on these clubs coming away even after Sunday’s match at +275. Both DraftKings and FanDuel list a PSG win on Sunday at +300. Many of the books have other ways to bet the match besides the 3-way moneyline, too.
For example, PointsBet offers several ready-made parlays for this match like Lyon to score first and win at +115. If that bet pays off, it will be just more of the same in this series in the UWCL.