UFC 266: Andrade Vs. Cavillo And Shevchenko Vs. Murphy Headline Main Card

Written By Katie Lever on September 24, 2021

Feeling “Lucky” this weekend? Better head over to ESPN+, then. UFC 266 continues on Saturday night and the main card features a pair of must-watch matchups on the women’s side.

Canadian and US sportsbooks have a variety of betting action available for these bouts. That includes some promos for UFC bettors to take advantage of prior to the fights.

Breaking down Andrade v Calvillo at UFC 266 Saturday

First, flyweights Jessica Andrade and Cynthia Calvillo square off at 10 pm EST in a fight that could have title implications and features two highly-ranked and closely matched competitors. Andrade has the edge in experience, knockouts, and submissions, and Calvillo might be a bit rusty.

Her most recent fight was in November 2020. Still, Calvillo is close to Andrade in accuracy rate and outscores Andrade in defense rate by 15%.

The sports books favor the veteran, Andrade, with DraftKings Sportsbook listing her odds to win at -265, compared with Calvillo’s +215. Fans of underdog bets will love the sportsbooks this weekend, however.

FanDuel Sportsbook lists a slate of positive odds for many outcomes, including round betting, method of victory, and double chance. Bettors can take a chance on a draw at +5,000 or play it safer with bets for Andrade to win by points (+135), KO/TKO (+250), or Calvillo to win by points (+490).

Can Lucky dodge a Bullet?

Up next, Valentina “Bullet” Shevchenko vs. Lauren “Lucky” Murphy square up to cap off the women’s main card fights in the women’s flyweight championship bought at 10:45 p.m. EST. Both athletes are coming off wins leading up to Saturday night.

Shevchenko defeated Jessica Andrade by TKO in April, while Murphy defeated Joanne Calderwood by decision in June. Shevchenko has been feeling confident lately—when asked in a press conference how long it would take her and her sister, Antonina, to defeat the Paul brothers in a hypothetical celebrity fight, she immediately replied “zero seconds.”

Whether or not Saturday’s fight will be that quick, Shevchenko is the clear favorite against Murphy. Tapology Fight Predictions gives her a 97% chance of winning. Even so, statistics may complicate matters. Shevchenko averages 3.02 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy rate of 51% while Murphy has the edge on significant strikes, averaging 3.92 per minute while slacking on precision, with an accuracy rate of 40%.

Chance of winning aside, force versus accuracy provides what will surely be an interesting matchup. Although Murphy may well need luck on her side to win tomorrow night, fans can rest easy. Bettors looking for a sure thing should keep their eyes on Shevchenko.

Her odds to win on DraftKings are listed at -1,500, compared to Murphy’s +2,500. Similarly unlikely is Murphy’s chance of winning by submission, with odds of -2,800. What might multiply your winnings are these promos for UFC 266.

Plenty of promos for UFC 266 Saturday

As of Friday afternoon, these are some of the best boosts and promos at legal Canadian and US sportsbooks you can use for Andrade v Calvillo, Murphy v Shevchenko, or both.

  • Bally Bet‘s “Fight Night 266 Bet 3, Get 1 Free” – Make three pre-event wagers of $25 or more and receive a $25 free bet to use on fight night
  • Caesars Sportsbook – Shevchenko Wins in Round 3 boosted to +700
  • DraftKings – Under 2.5 rounds in both Murphy/Shevchenko and Curtis Blaydes/Jairzinho Rozenstruik boosted to +240
  • DraftKings – New users can get $150 in free bets for betting $1 on any UFC 266 bout
  • FanDuel – Shevchenko to win in Round 1 boosted to +320
  • FanDuel’s “UFC Parlay Insurance” – Place a parlay of four or more legs on UFC 266 and if all but one leg hits, FanDuel will give you up to $25 in site credit
  • PointsBet Sportsbook – Nick Diaz, Alex Volkanovski, and Shevchenko all to win boosted to +245
Photo by Gary McCullough/Associated Press
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Katie Lever

Katie Lever is a former Division 1 athlete and current doctoral candidate at the University of Texas at Austin where she studies NCAA discourse and the intersections of sport and society. She is also a freelance sportswriter, consultant, and creative writer on the side. Katie is a member of The Drake Group, an athletic advocacy organization dedicated to academic integrity in collegiate athletics and serves as a member of their Board of Governors as well as their Chief Communications Officer. In her (limited) spare time, she enjoys lifting weights, walking dogs, and exploring the city of Austin.

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