NWSL Betting Preview: Racing Louisville Looks To Continue Upward Trajectory

Written By Antonio Maza on August 25, 2021

A couple of games midweek for NWSL betting with two of the four teams involved in friendly international competitions matching up with different kinds of challenges. For one side, Portland Thorns FC will try to validate the ICC credentials against an NJ/NY Gotham FC club that is facing more turmoil at 10:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. Meanwhile, the other champion of those tournaments, Racing Louisville, who won the “Women’s Cup” will square off away against FC Kansas City at 8 p.m. ET on Paramount+.

The earlier of those two matches presents as the more intriguing and surprising considering Louisville’s recent ascent. Racing is showing that they’ll probably keep piling up on what’s been a dreadful season for a struggling KC.

What to expect from this match for NWSL betting?

Louisville has been a surprise these last couple of weeks with the team improving, particularly with the addition of three players: Gemma Bonner, Ebony Salmon and Nadia Nadim. The quality of those players is undoubted but they have helped the team to rise above expectations and what was done by a young core led by Emina Ekic, Emily Fox, and CeCe Kizer.

After a very tough start of the season result-wise, manager Christy Holly has found a way to steady the ship. They are on a run of three games unbeaten. Their xG against has been lower and lower each game, something that keeper Michelle Betos surely is thankful for.

Meanwhile, with the addition of the aforemented players, Racing has improved vastly upon its own XG. It was above one for the first time this season in the match against Gotham (1.16). In the last one against the Chicago Red Stars, it was 1.22, meaning that for the first time they were above their own average.

If you take into account that Kansas City have conceded 22 goals from 22 xG against, the conditions look optimal for Louisville to score. Can Kansas City counter? Truth be told, this team is much better playing at home. In fact, they got their first win in the campaign in their last game at the Legends Field, a 1-0 victory against OL Reign.

Huw Williams‘ team has honestly been a bit unlucky (seven goals from 17.57 xG for) but also the movements of players up top have not yet brought the goals he surely expected. There’s little doubt that Kristen Hamilton and Hailie Mace can bring to a team that already had players like Jéssica Silva and Mariana Larroquette. But now they cannot find a way to get into the box that often with their trendline on xG for on a downward trayectory.

Of course, that can change, as Racing Louisville is a team that can struggle covering spaces. Expect a low-scoring, but open in terms of chances, match with both teams relying on quick transitions to hurt the opposition. If you feel daring, you might even consider Over 1.5+ goals scored for this one.

SportsbookKansas City to winDrawLouisville to win
BetMGM Sportsbook+135+220+170
BetRivers/PlaySugarhouse Sportsbook+135+200+185
Caesars Sportsbook+150+200+175
PointsBet Sportsbook+150+215+195
Unibet Sportsbook+135+200+185
SportsbookThorns to winDrawGotham to win
BetMGM Sportsbook-165+280+360
BetRivers/PlaySugarhouse Sportsbook-143+240+350
Caesars Sportsbook-167+260+400
DraftKings Sportsbook-160+295+450
PointsBet Sportsbook-150+275+420
Unibet Sportsbook-143+240+350
Photo by Will Newton/Associated Press
Antonio Maza Avatar
Written by
Antonio Maza

NWSL Analitica writer/owner, video and data analyst

View all posts by Antonio Maza