France And Germany Battle It Out For The Last Place In The 2022 Euros Final

Written By Antonio Maza on July 27, 2022

With England securing its ticket to Wembley for the 2022 UEFA Women’s European Championship final this Sunday, France and Germany will settle who’s gonna join the Three Lions. Legal Canadian and US sportsbooks have plenty of markets available, including 3-way moneylines and goal props.

Bettors can watch the match at 3 p.m. EDT on Wednesday on ESPN. Caesars has the Germans a slight favorite over the French on the Wednesday morning opening lines but for bettors who are looking for a better return, there might be other options to consider.

Recent form in France vs. Germany

This will be the third Euros match between Germany and France, with Germany winning both of the previous two in 2005 and 2009. Both of those meetings came in the group stage. France has won two of its last three tests against Germany, most recently a 1-0 win in a friendly in June 2021.

The last major tournament (World Cup/Euros) match between the two nations saw Germany progress, however, in the 2015 World Cup quarterfinal. Germany has progressed from eight of its nine semifinals at the Euros. This will be the Germans’ 10th semifinal tie at the tournament, the most of any nation.

Wednesday’s match will be France’s first ever Euros semifinal appearance and the French are the only of this year’s four semifinalists to reach this stage for the first time. Each of the last four first-time semifinalists was eliminated from this round, with the last to progress in 1989 actually being Germany.

How do things look for goal markets Wednesday?

France has attempted more shots (94) than any other nation at this year’s Euros. However, they have scored just nine goals with their 9.6% shot conversion rate the lowest of the three remaining sides in the 2022 tournament.

Germany has won all four matches in this tournament without conceding. Only Germany itself has managed five or more consecutive clean sheets in Euros history.

German captain Alexandra Popp has scored in all four games so far at EURO 2022. She could become the first player to score in five consecutive appearances at the Euros.

All nine of France’s goals in this year’s Euros have been scored either in the first half of normal time or the first half of extra time. The French have scored nine goals from 56 shots in the first half of normal and extra time (16% conversion rate), compared to zero goals from 38 shots in the second half of normal and extra time.

Photo by Alessandra Tarantino/Associated Press
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Antonio Maza

NWSL Analitica writer/owner, video and data analyst

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